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Posted By Topic: Personal/Private Stats For Number of "Likes" GIVEN       - Views: 71
Fahrenheit
09-Feb 2015 Monday 3:13 PM (3527 days ago)               #1
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Currently, each member has a stats on his profile, which shows him the total number of "likes" he has attained.

I'd like to suggest another piece of stats, based the number of "likes" he has GIVEN TO OTHERS. However, this piece of stats will only be visible to himself, and won't be seen by members in general. This will encourage members to give out likes, instead of merely trying to attain likes. 

By allowing each AB member to privately measure the number of likes he has GIVEN TO OTHERS, it awards him a kind of "feel good factor". By setting this number as a PRIVATE statistics, it suggests that the giving of likes is a nobler act than receiving. It's like after doing a good deed, you write it down in your personal diary.

It'd also be a bonus, if there is a private ranking on where he stands in the giving of likes, without revealing the identity of other "givers".




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

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KlavierJoenessGavin
09-Feb 2015 Monday 3:17 PM (3527 days ago)            #2
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quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
Currently, each member has a stats on his profile, which shows him the total number of "likes" he has attained.

I'd like to suggest another piece of stats, based the number of "likes" he has GIVEN TO OTHERS. However, this piece of stats will only be visible to himself, and won't be seen by members in general. This will encourage members to give out likes, instead of merely trying to attain likes. 

By allowing each AB member to privately measure the number of likes he has GIVEN TO OTHERS, it awards him a kind of "feel good factor". By setting this number as a PRIVATE statistics, it suggests that the giving of likes is a nobler act than receiving. It's like after doing a good deed, you write it down in your personal diary.

It'd also be a bonus, if there is a private ranking on where he stands in the giving of likes, without revealing the identity of other "givers".




Self enlightened interest ar?



Always Believe In Yourself!

You Are Smarter Than You Think!


The Only Way Out Is To Win!




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Fahrenheit
09-Feb 2015 Monday 3:19 PM (3527 days ago)            #3
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Posts: 52614
Liked By: 40768
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 54



    

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quote originally posted by KlavierJoenessGavin:



Self enlightened interest ar?



Enlightened Self Interest , bro. 

 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Team Ranked: #69 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,376,875 Total Members: 45
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AsianBookie
09-Feb 2015 Monday 4:37 PM (3527 days ago)            #4
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As this stat is not measured from the beginning, the stats won't be accurate unless we reset everything. I don't think it required.



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